Five Predictions for 2011 by Jez Humble
Jez has written a piece over at the CM Crossroads site with five predictions for 2011 –
- More innovation in the cloud space
- What won’t happen – consolidation
- Enterprises will start to take notice of Devops
- What won’t happen: enterprises actually adopting Devops
- Other predictions
- The development of automated security testing tools
- Release management gets serious
- It’s going to be almost impossible to hire
More innovation in the cloud space
One especially surprising event this year was Amazon’s unilateral removal of WikiLeaks content, giving a whole new meaning to the phrase “eventual consistency”. Since data management is probably the most painful part of moving services to the cloud (as Andrew Tanenbaum once said, “never underestimate the bandwidth of a station wagon full of tapes hurtling down the highway”), and since keeping it secure is essential both to your business retaining its competitive advantage as well as conforming to regulations, organizations will need to consider very carefully the risks of outsourcing data hosting.
Nevertheless, “The Cloud” is a magic phrase that will continue to dominate discussion in the IT world. Both public and private cloud offerings will continue to evolve, both in terms of the number of vendors, their offerings, and the toolchain. However, as the Amazon debacle demonstrates, IT will continue to rely on a combination of traditionally-managed services and cloud-based ones. This heterogeneity will make it painful to create a strategy for adopting cloudy systems in the enterprise.
It will be ever more essential to come up with such a strategy and execute it. The benefits of virtualization (and thus by extension the cloud) for rapid application development, for creating production-like environments for testing purposes, and for scaling up production environments when demand is volatile, are too great a benefit for businesses to ignore them.
Read the full post at http://www.cmcrossroads.com/cm-articles/275-articles/13914-five-predictions-for-2011

